某些历史现象的“回潮”,并不是某类人或某代人被原样复制,而是一套在特定环境下会被反复激活的行为模式在起作用。这套模式的核心逻辑在于:极简主义的对立,情绪化而非理性的裁判。例如:

  • 二元简化: 将复杂议题极速压缩为非黑即白的阵营对抗。
  • 标签审判: 以道德立场取代事实推演,用标签定性代替逻辑分析。
  • 暴力正名: 将群体攻击粉饰为“正义执行”。
  • 低成本狂欢: 在敌人定义模糊、行为自带光环、参与零门槛的环境中,机制自行运转。

它并不需要组织、不挑年龄,也不依赖信仰。只要教育和社会长期奖励情绪表达、服从执行和安全站队,而不奖励理性判断和责任承担。这种模式就会像旧程序一样被一次次调用。问题不在“谁像历史中的谁”,而在教育和社会是否持续制造了让这种程序顺畅运行的环境。


The “resurgence” of certain historical phenomena is not a carbon copy of a specific group or generation, rather, it is the activation of a behavioral pattern that lies dormant until triggered by a specific environment. The core logic of this pattern lies in minimalist antagonism and emotionalized—rather than rational—judgment. For example:

  • Binary Simplification: The swift compression of complex issues into black-and-white, us-versus-them confrontations.
  • Judgment by Labeling: The displacement of factual deduction with moral posturing; substituting logical analysis with the branding of ideological labels.
  • The Sanctification of Aggression: The rebranding of collective hostility as “the execution of justice.”
  • Low-Cost Carnival: An autonomous mechanism that thrives where the “enemy” is ill-defined, actions are cloaked in a moral halo, and the barrier to participation is non-existent.

This process requires no formal organization, discriminates against no age group, and relies on no specific faith. As long as education and society continue to reward emotional expression, obedience, and “safe” side-taking—while failing to incentivize rational judgment and personal accountability. This pattern will be invoked time and again, like an archaic piece of software. The fundamental issue is not “who resembles whom from history,” but whether education and society continue to engineer the environment that allows this program to run without friction.